Publicações

2025

Loriani, S., Bartsch, A., Calamita, E. et al. (2025) Monitoring the Multiple Stages of Climate Tipping Systems from Space: Do the GCOS Essential Climate Variables Meet the Needs?. SURVEYS IN GEOPHYSICS, v. 00, p. 0000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-024-09866-4

2024

Mattos, C., Bernardino, P.N., Stein, B. et al. (2024) Terras Indígenas da Amazônia são fundamentais para a segurança hídrica e alimentar do Brasil. Nota Técnica, Instituto Serrapilheira, 12 abr 2024. https://serrapilheira.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Nota-tecnica_TIs_Amazonia_2024_2_12.pdf

Benson, V., Donges, J.F., Boers, N. et al. (2024) Measuring tropical rainforest resilience under non-Gaussian disturbances. Environmental Research Letters, v. 19, p. 024029. DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80

Mazzochini, G.G., Rowland, L., Lira-Martins, D. et al. (2024) Spectral asynchrony as a measure of ecosystem response diversity. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, v. 30, p. 1. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.17174

Flores, B.M., Montoya, E., Sakschewski, B. et al. (2024) Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. NATURE, v. 626, p. 555-564. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13794

Bernardino, P.N., Oliveira, R.S., Van Meerbeek, K. et al. (2024) Estimating vegetation water content from Sentinel-1 C-band SAR data over savanna and grassland ecosystems. Environmental Research Letters, v. 00, p. 0000. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ad1e80

Van Passel, J., Bernardino, P.N., Lhermitte, S. et al. (2024) Critical slowing down of the Amazon forest after increased drought occurrence. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, v. 121, p. e2316924121. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2316924121

Akabane, T.K., Chiessi, C.M., Hirota, M. et al. (2024) Weaker Atlantic overturning circulation increases the vulnerability of northern Amazon forests. Nature Geoscience, v. 00, p. 0000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01578-z

Cattelan, L.G., Mattos, C.R.C., Pamplona, M.B. et al. (2024) Mapping Climatic Regions of the Cerrado: General Patterns and Future Change. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, v. 00, p. 1-16. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8670

Levis, C., Rezende, J.S., Barreto, J.P.L. et al. (2024) Indigenizing conservation science for a sustainable Amazon. SCIENCE, v. 386, p. 1229-1232. DOI: 10.1126/science.adn5616

2023

Mattos, C.R.C., Hirota, M., Oliveira, R.S. et al. (2023)  Double stress of waterlogging and drought drives forest-savanna coexistence. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, v. 120, p. e2301255120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2301255120

Mattos, C., Mazzochini, G.G., Rius, B.F. et al. (2023) Rainfall and topographic position determine tree embolism resistance in Amazônia and Cerrado sites. Environmental Research Letters, v. 18, p. 114009. DOI 10.1088/1748-9326/ad0064

Araujo, R., Assunção, J., Hirota, M. et al. (2023) Estimating the spatial amplification of damage caused by degradation in the Amazon. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, v. 120, p. e2312451120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.231245112

Cure, M.B., Flores, B.M., Mattos, C.R.C. et al. (2023) Vegetation-rainfall coupling as an indicator of ecosystem state in a heterogeneous landscape. ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS, v. 157, p. 111268. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111268

Nian, D., Bathiany, S., Ben-Yami, M. et al. (2023) A potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation may stabilise eastern Amazonian rainforests. Communications Earth & Environment, v. 4, p. 470. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01123-7

Tavares, J.V., Oliveira, R.S., Mencuccini, M. et al. (2023) Basin-wide variation in tree hydraulic safety margins predicts the carbon balance of Amazon forests. NATURE, v. 617, p. 111-117. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-05971-3

2022

Ferreira, J.Q., Chiessi, C.M., Hirota, M. et al. (2022) Changes in obliquity drive tree cover shifts in eastern tropical South America. QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS, v. 279, p. 107402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107402

Lewis, K., de V. Barros, F., Cure, M.B. et al. (2022) Mapping native and non-native vegetation in the Brazilian Cerrado using freely available satellite products. Scientific Reports, v. 12, p. 1588. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05332-6

Ll, R., Hirota, M., Chaffe, P.L.B. et al. (2022) Socioeconomic development role in hospitalization related to air pollution and meteorology: A study case in southern Brazil. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, v. 00, p. 154063. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154063

Marciniak, B., Machado, L.P., de Campos, L.L.F., Hirota, M., & Dechoum, M.S. (2022). Direct and indirect effects of an invasive non-native tree on coastal plant communities. PLANT ECOLOGY, v. 00, p. 000000. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11258-022-01246-5

Wunderling, N., Staal, A., Sakschewski, B., Hirota, M., Tuinenburg, O.A., Donges, J.F., Barbosa, H.M.J., & Winkelmann, R. (2022). Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, v. 119, p. e2120777119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2120777119

Martin, M., Boakye, E., Boyd, E., Broadgate, W., Bustamante, M., Canadell, J., Carr, E.R., Chu, E.K., Cleugh, H., Csevar, S., Daoudy, M., Bremond, A., Dhimal, M., Ebi, K.L., Edwards, C., Fuss, S., Girardin, M.P., Glavovic, B., Hebden, S., Hirota, M., et al. (2022). Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2022. Global Sustainability, v. 5, p. E20. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2022.17

2021

Oliveira, R.S., Eller, C.B., Barros, F.V., Hirota, M., Brum, M., & Bittencourt, P. (2021). Linking plant hydraulics and the fast-slow continuum to understand resilience to drought in tropical ecosystems. NEW PHYTOLOGIST, v. 00, p. 00. https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.17266

Bernardino, P.N., Dantas, V.L., Hirota, M., Pausas, J.G., & Oliveira, R.S. (2021). Savanna-Forest Coexistence Across a Fire Gradient. ECOSYSTEMS, v. 00, p. 00.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-021-00654-4

Sakschewski, B., von Bloh, W., Drüke, M., Sörensson, A.A., Ruscica, R., Langerwisch, F., Billing, M., Bereswill, S., Hirota, M., Oliveira, R.S., Heinke, J., & Thonicke, K. (2021).Variable tree rooting strategies are key for modelling the distribution, productivity and evapotranspiration of tropical evergreen forests. BIOGEOSCIENCES, v. 18, p. 4091-4116. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-4091-2021

Martin, M.A., Sendra, O.A., Bastos, A., Bauer, N., Bertram, C., Blenckner, T., Bowen, K., Brando, P.M., Brodie Rudolph, T., Büchs, M., Bustamante, M., Chen, D., Cleugh, H., Dasgupta, P., Denton, F., Donges, J.F., Donkor, F.K., Duan, H., Duarte, C.M., Hirota, M., et al. (2021). Ten new insights in climate science 2021 – a horizon scan. Global Sustainability, v. 00, p. 1-39. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.25

2020

Levis, C., Flores, B.M., Mazzochini, G.G. et al. (2020) Help restore Brazil’s governance of globally important ecosystem services. Nat Ecol Evol 4, 172–173. doi: 10.1038/s41559-019-1093-x.

Matos, IS, Flores, BM, Hirota, M, Rosado, BHP. (2020)Critical transitions in rainfall manipulation experiments on grasslands. Ecol Evol.; 10: 2695– 2704. doi: 10.1002/ece3.6072.

Hirota, Marina ; OLIVEIRA, RAFAEL . (2020)Crossing thresholds on the way to ecosystem shifts. SCIENCE (NEW YORK, N.Y.: ONLINE), v. 367, p. 739-740. doi: 10.1126/science.aba7115.

Albarracín, J. F. H.; Oliveira, R. S.; Hirota, M.; DOS SANTOS, J. A. ; TORRES, R. S. (2020) A Soft Computing Approach for Selecting and Combining Spectral Bands. Remote Sensing, v. 12, p. 2267. doi: 10.3390/rs12142267.

Flores, B.M., Sá Dechoum, M., Schmidt, I.B., Hirota, M., Abrahão, A., Verona, L., Pecoral, L.L.F., Cure, M.B., Giles, A.L., Britto Costa, P., Pamplona, M.B., Mazzochini, G.G., Groenendijk, P., Minski, G.L., Wolfsdorf, G., Sampaio, A.B., Piccolo, F., Melo, L., Fiacador de Lima, R., Oliveira, R.S., et al. (2020). Tropical riparian forests in danger from large savanna wildfires. JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY (ONLINE), v. 00, p. 00. https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13794

2019

Flores, B. M. ; Staal, A.; Jakovac, C.;Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; Oliveira, R. S. (2019) Soil erosion as a resilience drain in disturbed tropical forests. Plant and Soil, p. 1-15. doi: 10.1007/s11104-019-04097-8.

Ciemer, C.; Boers, N.; Hirota, M. et al. (2019) Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall. Nat. Geosci. 12, 174–179. doi: 10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z.

N. Menini et al. (2019) “Tucumã: A toolbox for spatiotemporal remote sensing image analysis [Software and Data Sets],” in IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Magazine, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 110-122. doi:10.1109/MGRS.2019.2928260.

2018

Levis, C.; Flores, B. M.; Moreira, P. A.; Luize, B. G. ; Alves, R. P.; Franco-Moraes, J.; Lins, J.; Konings, E.; Peña-Claros, M.; Bongers, F.; Costa, F. R. C.; Clement, C. R. (2018) How People Domesticated Amazonian Forests. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, v. 5, p. 171. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2017.00171.

N. Menini et al. (2018) “A Soft Computing Framework for Image Classification Based on Recurrence Plots,” in IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 320-324. doi: 10.1109/LGRS.2018.2872132.

2017

Zemp, D.; Schleussner, C.; Barbosa, H. et al. (2017) Self-amplified Amazon forest loss due to vegetation-atmosphere feedbacks. Nat Commun 8, 14681. doi: 10.1038/ncomms14681.

Debortoli, N.S., Sung, C.L., & Hirota, M. (2017).Avaliação da vulnerabilidade do meio rural aos eventos Meteorológicos extremos e a mudança climática na Bacia Hidrográfica do Rio Araranguá. CADERNOS GEOGRÁFICOS (UFSC), v. 36, p. 76-102, 2017.

2016

Flores, B.M., Fagoaga, R., Nelson, B.W. and Holmgren, M. (2016), Repeated fires trap Amazonian blackwater floodplains in an open vegetation state. J Appl Ecol, 53: 1597-1603. doi:10.1111/1365-2664.12687

:10.1016/j.tree.2016.09.011

Verbesselt, J. ; Umlauf, N.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E. H. ; Herold, M. ; Zeileis, A.; Scheffer, M. (2016) Remotely sensed resilience of tropical forests. Nature Climate Change, 6: 1028-1031. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3108.

Debortoli, N.S.; Dubreuil, V.; Hirota M.; Rodrigues-Filho, S.; Lindoso, D.P.; Nabucet, J. (2016) Detecting deforestation impacts in Southern Amazonia rainfall using rain gauges. International Journal of Climatology. DOI: 10.1002/joc.4886.

Dantas, V.L.; Hirota, M.; Oliveira, R.S.; Pausas, J. G. (2016) Disturbance maintains alternative biome states. Ecology Letters, 19(1): 12-19. DOI: 10.1111/ele.12537.

2015

Salazar, A.; Baldi, G.; Hirota, M.; Syktus, J.; McAlpine, C. (2015) Land use and land cover change impacts on the regional climate of non-Amazonian South America: a review. Global and Planetary Change, 128: 103-119, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2015.02.009.

Staal, A. ; Dekker, S.C. ; Hirota, Marina ; van Nes, E.H. (2015) Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest. Ecological Complexity, 22: 65-75, doi: 10.1016/j.ecocom.2015.01.003.

Xu, C., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E.H., Hirota, M., Chapin, F.S., & Scheffer, M. (2015). A Changing Number of Alternative States in the Boreal Biome: Reproducibility Risks of Replacing Remote Sensing Products. Plos One, v. 10, p. e0143014. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0143014

2014

van Nes, E.H.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; Scheffer, M. (2014) Tipping points in tropical tree cover: linking theory to data. Glob. Change Biol., 20: 1016-1021, doi: 10.1111/gbc.12398.

2013

Holmgren, M.; Hirota, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2013) Effects of interannual variability on tropical tree cover. Nature Clim. Change, 3: 755-758, doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1906.

2012

Scheffer, M.; Hirota, M.; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Chapin III, F.S. (2012) Thresholds for boreal biome transitions. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 109(52): 21384-9, doi: pnas.1219844110.

2011

Hirota, M; Holmgren, M.; van Nes, E.H.; Scheffer, M. (2011) Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions. Science, 334: 232-235.

Hirota, M.; Oyama, M.D.; Nobre, C. (2011) Concurrent climate impacts of tropical South America land-cover change. Atmos. Sci. Let., 12: 261-267.

2010

Hirota, M.; Nobre, C.; Oyama, M.D.; Bustamante, M.M.C. (2010) The climatic sensitivity of the forest, savanna and forest-savanna transition in tropical South America. New Phytol., 187(3): 707-719.